Country profile
Mexico
Latin America - MXN - Bank of Mexico. Data mode: demo cache, not live.
2.3%
Real output momentum.
11.0%
Short-rate stance proxy.
9.7%
Long-rate market signal.
51.1%
Fiscal sustainability anchor.
0.0%
Government balance share of GDP.
0.0%
External funding balance.
Regime classification
Watch48.9/100
Expansion
Growth is positive, inflation pressure is manageable, and credit stress is contained.
Confidence: 66%
GDP growth
Source: World Bank / national sources via demo cache - Demo data, not live.
Inflation
Source: Demo data module - Demo data, not live.
Unemployment
Source: Demo data module - Demo data, not live.
Policy rate
Source: Demo data module - Demo data, not live.
Debt-to-GDP
Source: Demo data module - Demo data, not live.
Current account
Source: Demo data module - Demo data, not live.
Risk score detail
Inflation65.1/100 - Elevated
Geo/structural48/100 - Watch
Experimental CPI forecast
Simple moving-average forecast with widening confidence bands. Demo data, not live.
AI-generated country outlook
Executive summary: Mexico is classified as expansion with 66% confidence. Overall macro risk is watch at 48.9/100.
Growth outlook: Latest real GDP growth is 2.3%. The growth-momentum risk score is 33.1/100, so the dashboard treats weak growth as contained for now.
Inflation outlook: CPI inflation is 4.6% versus a 3.0% policy target. Inflation-pressure risk is 65.1/100.
Labor-market outlook: Unemployment is 2.8%. Labor conditions are interpreted together with growth and wage pressure, not as a standalone forecast.
Monetary-policy outlook: The policy-rate proxy is 11.0%. Monetary-tightness risk is 100/100, reflecting the real-rate and yield-curve signals in the demo cache.
Fiscal risk: The fiscal-balance proxy is 0.0% of GDP and the fiscal-stress score is 40.5/100.
External vulnerability: The current-account proxy is 0.0% of GDP and the external-vulnerability score is 28.1/100.
Key risks: The highest risk buckets are intended to guide research triage, not trading decisions. Missing or stale indicators should be reviewed before relying on the signal.
Data limitations: This report is generated from retrieved or demo-cache indicators only. Data timestamp: 2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00. Forecasts, classifications, and risk scores are for research, education, and decision-support only. They are not investment, legal, tax, or financial advice.
Research disclaimer: Forecasts, classifications, and risk scores are for research, education, and decision-support only. They are not investment, legal, tax, or financial advice.