Global Macro Outlook AI

Macro intelligence MVP

Demo data mode

Credit cycle

Credit stress monitor

Uses credit growth, non-performing loan proxies, yield-curve inversion, and rule-based credit-cycle stress scoring.

Credit growth

3.2%

Private credit proxy.

NPL ratio

1.1%

Asset-quality proxy.

Yield curve

-0.9%

Negative values flag inversion.

Credit stress

32.4/100

Rule-based score.

Credit growth

Source: Demo data module - Demo data, not live.

Non-performing loans

Source: Demo data module - Demo data, not live.

Countries ranked by credit stress

CountryLatestRisk scoreRegime
India

South Asia

12.0%
44Watch
Disinflationary growth
Mexico

Latin America

5.5%
40.8Watch
Expansion
Brazil

Latin America

8.0%
40.2Watch
Disinflationary growth
Euro Area

Europe

0.0%
37.7Watch
Expansion
United Kingdom

Europe

1.4%
36Watch
Disinflationary growth
Germany

Europe

0.0%
35.4Watch
Expansion
Canada

North America

1.9%
34.4Low
Expansion
United States

North America

3.2%
32.4Low
Disinflationary growth
China

East Asia

7.5%
32.1Low
Disinflationary growth
Japan

East Asia

1.8%
28Low
Fiscal stress
Research disclaimer: Forecasts, classifications, and risk scores are for research, education, and decision-support only. They are not investment, legal, tax, or financial advice.