Global Macro Outlook AI

Macro intelligence MVP

Demo data mode

Central bank monitor

Monetary policy stance

Compares policy rates, inflation targets, real policy rates, yield-curve slope, and rule-based hawkish or dovish signals.

Policy rate

5.2%

U.S. proxy shown.

Real policy rate

2.4%

Policy rate minus CPI.

Yield-curve slope

-0.9%

10-year yield minus policy rate.

Rule-based signal

Hawkish / restrictive

Transparent heuristic, not a forecast.

Policy-rate trend

Source: Demo data module - Demo data, not live.

10-year yield trend

Source: Demo data module - Demo data, not live.

Countries ranked by monetary tightness

CountryLatestRisk scoreRegime
Brazil

Latin America

10.4%
100High
Disinflationary growth
Mexico

Latin America

11.0%
100High
Expansion
Canada

North America

4.7%
75.3High
Expansion
United States

North America

5.2%
75.1High
Disinflationary growth
China

East Asia

3.1%
72.2Elevated
Disinflationary growth
United Kingdom

Europe

5.0%
70.9Elevated
Disinflationary growth
Germany

Europe

4.0%
70.3Elevated
Expansion
Euro Area

Europe

4.1%
66.1Elevated
Expansion
India

South Asia

6.4%
64.3Elevated
Disinflationary growth
Japan

East Asia

0.5%
35.9Watch
Fiscal stress
Research disclaimer: Forecasts, classifications, and risk scores are for research, education, and decision-support only. They are not investment, legal, tax, or financial advice.