Global Macro Outlook AI

Macro intelligence MVP

Demo data mode

External vulnerability

FX and balance-of-payments risk

Assesses current-account balances, FX pressure, reserve trends, external debt, and external-vulnerability scoring.

Current account

0.0%

Share of GDP.

FX vs USD

100.6

Indexed level; higher implies depreciation in this demo.

FX reserves

101.8

Reserve adequacy proxy.

External stress

29.9/100

Rule-based vulnerability score.

Current account

Source: Demo data module - Demo data, not live.

FX rate versus USD

Source: Demo data module - Demo data, not live.

Countries ranked by external vulnerability

CountryLatestRisk scoreRegime
United Kingdom

Europe

0.0%
65.2Elevated
Disinflationary growth
Germany

Europe

6.0%
44.1Watch
Expansion
Euro Area

Europe

2.4%
38Watch
Expansion
Canada

North America

0.0%
35.3Watch
Expansion
Japan

East Asia

3.3%
32.4Low
Fiscal stress
United States

North America

0.0%
29.9Low
Disinflationary growth
China

East Asia

1.1%
28.7Low
Disinflationary growth
India

South Asia

0.0%
28.3Low
Disinflationary growth
Mexico

Latin America

0.0%
28.1Low
Expansion
Brazil

Latin America

0.0%
27.6Low
Disinflationary growth
Research disclaimer: Forecasts, classifications, and risk scores are for research, education, and decision-support only. They are not investment, legal, tax, or financial advice.