China outlook report

Executive summary: China is classified as disinflationary growth with 68% confidence. Overall macro risk is watch at 36.9/100. Growth outlook: Latest real GDP growth is 4.2%. The growth-momentum risk score is 28.6/100, so the dashboard treats weak growth as contained for now. Inflation outlook: CPI inflation is 0.5% versus a 3.0% policy target. Inflation-pressure risk is 33.2/100. Labor-market outlook: Unemployment is 5.0%. Labor conditions are interpreted together with growth and wage pressure, not as a standalone forecast. Monetary-policy outlook: The policy-rate proxy is 3.1%. Monetary-tightness risk is 72.2/100, reflecting the real-rate and yield-curve signals in the demo cache. Fiscal risk: The fiscal-balance proxy is 0.0% of GDP and the fiscal-stress score is 34.2/100. External vulnerability: The current-account proxy is 1.1% of GDP and the external-vulnerability score is 28.7/100. Key risks: The highest risk buckets are intended to guide research triage, not trading decisions. Missing or stale indicators should be reviewed before relying on the signal. Data limitations: This report is generated from retrieved or demo-cache indicators only. Data timestamp: 2026-06-11T17:36:00-04:00. Forecasts, classifications, and risk scores are for research, education, and decision-support only. They are not investment, legal, tax, or financial advice.